Школа коэффициентов

Tondela v Gil Vicente

Начало: 2026-04-13 19:15 UTC

Итог: Tondela 2–2 Gil Vicente

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Tondela (Хозяева)

Прогноз 22.56%4.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.74%
Преимущество +0.385%
Kelly +0.495%
Рост +0.009%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.15%22.58%22.62%24.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.704.094.004.5127.03%24.48%25.00%22.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Gil Vicente (Гости)

Прогноз 49.31%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.84%
Преимущество -1.97%
Kelly -4.05%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.02%49.31%49.29%50.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.891.901.9557.80%52.98%52.77%51.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.13%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.26%
Преимущество -0.359%
Kelly -0.502%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.21%28.11%28.09%29.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.293.303.5133.33%30.43%30.30%28.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle4.51I 22.17%NM 21.44%EV +1.74%E +0.385%K +0.495%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 19:05
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 21.64%EV +1.06%E +0.237%K +0.305%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.75%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 19:05
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -0.744%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:55
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.744%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:10
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.87%E -0.430%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.82%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 18:59
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -2.32%E -0.537%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:10
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -2.32%E -0.537%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 19:10
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.36%EV -2.32%E -0.537%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -8.28%E -4.45%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 19:10
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -3.00%E -0.698%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.00%E -0.698%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:40
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -3.00%E -0.698%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:05
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -4.13%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.73%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 19:05
GTbets4.22I 23.70%NM 21.99%EV -4.80%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.63%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.38%EV -8.01%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 19:00
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 18:58
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.54%E -0.441%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 18:49
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 18:49
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -5.20%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 18:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.76%E -5.33%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 19:09
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.26%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 19:10
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -6.38%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 18:50
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -6.38%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 18:50
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.51%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 18:40
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.51%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -4.83%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 18:40
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:00
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:40
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:40
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:40
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:40
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:40
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:40
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:49
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 18:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:50
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 19:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 18:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 19:09
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 18:40
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 18:40
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 18:40
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -7.30%E -3.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 18:40
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 18:55
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:03
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -9.77%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -14.69%E -8.49%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-13 19:10
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.90%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.76%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:00
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.90%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 18:05
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.90%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -7.79%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 18:05
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -10.90%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -10.25%E -5.63%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 19:09
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -12.02%E -3.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 19:00
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.02%E -3.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.28%E -4.45%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 18:49
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -12.02%E -3.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-13 18:40
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.28%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.82%E -3.04%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 19:05
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -15.41%E -4.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.53%E -4.47%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.24%E -6.24%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.26%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.54%0.1%2026-04-13 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-04-13 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-13 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-13 19:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-13 18:35
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.22%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-04-13 19:10