Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.01
assuming max odds 4.70
assuming max odds 3.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santa Clara (Local): 47.65%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 22.62%; Draw: 29.73%. For Rio Ave FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.31%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV +4.05%E +0.881%K +1.13%G +0.046% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.07%EV +3.83%E +0.833%K +1.07%G +0.041% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV +0.658%E +0.148%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -0.473%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -2.06%E -0.475%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.73%E -0.636%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.42%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.88%E -0.570%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -12.29%E -4.17%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.59%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.82%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.59%EV -2.48%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -1.88%E -0.570%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.86%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.32%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.32%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 13:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -14.04%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -14.04%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |