Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santa Clara v Rio Ave FC

Início: 2026-09-06 14:32 UTC

Final: Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santa Clara (Local)

Previsão 47.65%2.10odd justa
EV -4.23%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -4.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.73%47.76%47.61%49.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.931.932.0154.64%51.94%51.81%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Previsão 22.62%4.42odd justa
EV +6.31%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.25%22.48%22.59%24.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.114.004.7026.67%24.34%25.00%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.73%3.36odd justa
EV -0.395%
Vantagem -0.118%
Kelly -0.168%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.81%29.76%29.80%31.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.153.3534.48%31.75%31.75%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Santa Clara (Local): 47.65%; Rio Ave FC (Visitante): 22.62%; Empate: 29.73%. Para Rio Ave FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.42. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:15
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +6.31%E +1.34%K +1.71%G +0.108%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV +4.05%E +0.881%K +1.13%G +0.046%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.07%EV +3.83%E +0.833%K +1.07%G +0.041%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.80%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV +1.79%E +0.398%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 14:30
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV +0.658%E +0.148%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -9.32%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -0.473%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -2.06%E -0.475%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.73%E -0.636%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.42%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.88%E -0.570%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 14:29
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -10.90%E -5.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -12.29%E -4.17%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:29
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.59%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.82%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.59%EV -2.48%E -0.755%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -1.88%E -0.570%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 14:29
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -0.395%E -0.118%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:25
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.86%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.65%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:40
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.71%E -2.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.66%E -2.86%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.32%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.32%EV -8.04%E -4.17%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.27%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -12.81%E -7.00%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -14.04%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.47%E -4.98%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -14.04%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -10.42%E -5.54%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-06 14:30
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-09-06 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-09-06 14:30
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%4.5%2026-09-06 14:30