Школа коэффициентов

Santa Clara v Nacional

Начало: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Итог: Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Santa Clara (Хозяева)

Прогноз 37.41%2.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.24%
Преимущество -0.471%
Kelly -0.759%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.15%37.38%37.59%38.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.332.472.502.6442.92%40.44%40.00%37.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nacional (Гости)

Прогноз 32.10%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.487%
Преимущество -0.157%
Kelly -0.232%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.08%32.23%31.89%34.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.882.903.1040.00%34.67%34.48%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.49%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.623%
Преимущество +0.189%
Kelly +0.271%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.50%30.39%30.51%31.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.063.093.3034.72%32.64%32.36%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV +0.623%E +0.189%K +0.271%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -2.43%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.43%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.43%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.43%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -2.43%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.10%E -3.74%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:34
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.70%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:35
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.64%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -0.487%E -0.157%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -6.09%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 18:35
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.73%EV -1.24%E -0.471%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.69%EV -1.77%E -0.579%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.58%EV -6.39%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.29%EV -2.37%E -0.907%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:19
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -4.34%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -4.34%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:34
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -12.09%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -12.09%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -12.09%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -12.84%E -5.51%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 18:34
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:33
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.02%EV -5.36%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS2.53I 39.53%NM 37.02%EV -5.36%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -0.487%E -0.157%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:34
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.44%EV -7.87%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:34
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.15%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -16.54%E -6.36%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 18:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -4.34%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.13%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -4.34%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.13%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -5.36%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -9.74%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.70%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.96%EV -10.96%E -3.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-11 18:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -19.75%E -7.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%0.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-05-11 18:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.32%1.4%2026-05-11 18:35