L’École des cotes

Santa Clara v Braga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +0.911%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%24.68%24.70%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.853.804.2028.57%25.98%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Braga (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.29%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.92%47.26%47.32%48.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.13%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.17%28.06%27.98%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.4734.72%30.65%30.30%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:15
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:15
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.74%E -4.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 11:15
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.74%E -4.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 11:14
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:13
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.29%EV -10.63%E -5.62%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 11:15
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -11.10%E -5.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 11:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:19
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:39
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -11.58%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 11:15
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -3.09%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.31%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.86%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:05
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:19
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:19
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:25
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:35
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:25
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:25
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:59
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:00
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:00
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -6.55%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.37%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.50%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:09
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:39
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:13
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 18:20
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -7.54%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -2.86%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:40
Pinnacle3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.71%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -3.14%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:15
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:13
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:47
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:44
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 20:00
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.24%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 21:29
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:19
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.47%E -7.36%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.38%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 18:38
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV -4.01%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:24
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV -4.01%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%6.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%9.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%14.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%14.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 15.90%2.00I 50.00%NM 28.22%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.88%77.2%2026-04-24 03:40