La escuela de los momios

Santa Clara v Braga

Inicio: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santa Clara (Local)

Predicción 24.72%4.05momio equitativo
EV +3.83%
Ventaja +0.911%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%24.68%24.70%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.853.804.2028.57%25.98%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Braga (Visitante)

Predicción 47.29%2.11momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.92%47.26%47.32%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.13%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%28.06%27.98%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.4734.72%30.65%30.30%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:15
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:15
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:15
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.74%E -4.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 11:15
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +3.83%E +0.911%K +1.20%G +0.046%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.74%E -4.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 11:14
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:13
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.29%EV -10.63%E -5.62%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 11:15
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +1.36%E +0.331%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -11.10%E -5.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 11:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:19
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:39
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -1.12%E -0.279%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -11.58%E -6.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 11:15
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -3.09%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.31%EV -3.06%E -1.49%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.95%EV -2.86%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 20:10
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:05
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:19
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.59%E -0.920%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:19
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:25
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:35
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:40
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:25
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:25
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:59
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:00
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:00
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:19
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -6.55%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.37%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.50%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:09
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:39
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 20:13
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 18:20
GTbets3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -7.54%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -2.86%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:40
Pinnacle3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.71%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -3.14%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:15
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.79%E -4.00%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:13
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.48%E -2.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:47
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:44
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 20:00
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.24%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 21:29
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:19
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.47%E -7.36%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.38%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 18:38
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV -4.01%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:24
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.11%EV -4.01%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.24%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:10
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.43%E -2.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%6.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%9.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%14.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.29%14.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 15.90%2.00I 50.00%NM 28.22%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.88%77.2%2026-04-24 03:40