默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Santa Clara v Braga

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Santa Clara (主队)

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV -5.13%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
23.69%24.02%24.02%25.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.793.803.9529.85%26.40%26.32%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Braga (客队)

预测 47.15%2.12公平赔率
EV -6.65%
优势 -3.36%
Kelly -6.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
45.92%47.15%47.15%47.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.931.921.9853.19%51.73%52.08%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.83%3.47公平赔率
EV -6.29%
优势 -1.93%
Kelly -2.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.31%28.83%28.83%29.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.163.103.2533.33%31.68%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Santa Clara (主队):24.02%;Braga (客队):47.15%;平局:28.83%。 对于“Santa Clara (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.95,期望值为-5.13%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.65%E -3.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.65%E -3.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:20
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:21
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:20
Bally Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:21
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:20
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.13%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:19
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.07%EV -9.48%E -4.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:20
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.07%EV -9.48%E -4.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.07%EV -9.48%E -4.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.95%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.95%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:21
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.95%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -9.93%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -10.89%E -5.76%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -11.61%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.23%EV -10.89%E -5.76%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.52%EV -9.75%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:17
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -15.94%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.95%EV -10.42%E -5.48%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.50%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -17.14%E -4.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -10.42%E -5.48%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -19.54%E -5.83%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -11.36%E -6.04%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -12.06%E -3.95%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 25.15%1.69I 59.17%NM 45.09%2.56I 39.06%NM 29.76%31.2%2026-09-13 20:31