L’École des cotes

Rio Ave FC v Famalicão

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rio Ave FC (Local)

Prévision 23.99%4.17cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.401%
Kelly -0.531%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%23.91%24.00%25.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.984.1027.78%25.39%25.13%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Famalicão (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.39%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.52%50.46%50.34%51.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.831.9457.80%54.42%54.64%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.62%3.90cote équitable
EV +0.426%
Avantage +0.109%
Kelly +0.146%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.63%25.66%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.603.9232.26%27.61%27.78%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.16%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.10%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV +0.426%E +0.109%K +0.146%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-01 20:24
Pinnacle3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -5.00%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -3.25%E -1.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 20:25
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:24
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 19:24
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -4.52%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.16%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:19
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.27%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.62%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:24
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:44
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.64%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -10.30%E -5.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:19
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:15
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.64%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:24
BetUS4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -2.84%E -0.702%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:39
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:39
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:04
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:04
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:04
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 20:09
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:35
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 20:04
Marathon Bet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.11%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 20:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.26%E -2.24%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 15:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 19:34
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 20:19
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:35
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:35
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 20:09
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:35
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:34
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:34
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 19:35
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 19:34
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:14
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -10.81%E -6.11%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 19:34
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 20:15
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:10
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 15:29
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:10
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:34
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:14
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 20:13
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -11.31%E -6.43%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 19:34
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.82%E -7.41%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-03-01 20:25
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%2.8%2026-03-01 20:24