La escuela de los momios

Rio Ave FC v Famalicão

Inicio: 2026-03-01 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rio Ave FC (Local)

Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.531%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%23.91%24.00%25.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.943.984.1027.78%25.39%25.13%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Famalicão (Visitante)

Predicción 50.39%1.98momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%50.46%50.34%51.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.831.9457.80%54.42%54.64%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.62%3.90momio equitativo
EV +0.426%
Ventaja +0.109%
Kelly +0.146%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.63%25.66%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.603.9232.26%27.61%27.78%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.16%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.10%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV +0.426%E +0.109%K +0.146%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-01 20:24
Pinnacle3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -5.00%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.38%EV -3.25%E -1.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.19%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 20:25
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:24
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:24
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 19:24
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -4.52%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -3.16%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:19
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.27%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.62%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:24
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 19:44
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.64%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -10.30%E -5.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:19
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:15
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.64%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:24
BetUS4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -2.84%E -0.702%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:39
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:39
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:04
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:04
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -11.24%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:04
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 20:09
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:35
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:34
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 20:04
Marathon Bet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.11%EV -6.27%E -3.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 20:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.26%E -2.24%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 15:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 19:34
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 20:19
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:35
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.29%E -4.55%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:35
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.64%E -0.401%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 20:09
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:35
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:34
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:34
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 19:35
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 19:34
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:14
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -10.81%E -6.11%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 19:34
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -8.79%E -4.86%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 20:15
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.26%E -2.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 21:10
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 15:29
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:10
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.04%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.77%E -3.08%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 19:34
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:14
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 20:15
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.84%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.78%E -4.25%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 20:13
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -11.31%E -6.43%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 19:34
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -9.29%E -5.16%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.24%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -6.77%E -3.66%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -10.04%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -12.82%E -7.41%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-03-01 20:25
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%2.8%2026-03-01 20:24