La scuola delle quote

Rio Ave FC v CF Estrela

Inizio: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rio Ave FC (Casa)

Previsione 41.20%2.43quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.821%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.42%41.19%41.16%42.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.282.302.3847.62%43.81%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CF Estrela (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.66%3.37quota equa
EV +0.848%
Vantaggio +0.249%
Kelly +0.353%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.72%29.65%29.71%31.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.123.103.4034.72%32.08%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.14%3.43quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.04%29.16%29.13%30.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.183.203.3335.71%31.45%31.25%30.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.848%E +0.249%K +0.353%G +0.003%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -5.87%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 17:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV +0.848%E +0.249%K +0.353%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:39
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.11%EV -1.23%E -0.369%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.64%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.85%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.24%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.85%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.24%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:40
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:55
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:40
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:40
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.03%EV -5.97%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -2.95%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -7.46%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 17:35
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.90%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 09:34
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.61%E -4.89%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:40
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -9.53%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:30
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.53%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:30
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -1.95%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 09:19
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -1.95%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 09:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:19
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 17:35
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -4.43%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 09:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -4.43%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 09:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-03-15 17:40
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-03-15 17:50