مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rio Ave FC v CF Estrela

البداية: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rio Ave FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.20%2.43السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -0.821%
Kelly -1.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.42%41.19%41.16%42.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.282.302.3847.62%43.81%43.48%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CF Estrela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.66%3.37السعر العادل
EV +0.848%
الأفضلية +0.249%
Kelly +0.353%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.72%29.65%29.71%31.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.123.103.4034.72%32.08%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.14%3.43السعر العادل
EV -2.95%
الأفضلية -0.887%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.04%29.16%29.13%30.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.183.203.3335.71%31.45%31.25%30.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.848%E +0.249%K +0.353%G +0.003%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -5.87%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 17:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV +0.848%E +0.249%K +0.353%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:39
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.11%EV -1.23%E -0.369%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.64%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.85%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.24%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.85%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -3.24%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:40
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:55
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -2.12%E -0.642%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:40
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:40
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -4.49%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -7.91%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.03%EV -5.97%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -2.95%E -0.887%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.57%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -7.46%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 17:35
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.90%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 09:34
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:35
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.61%E -4.89%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:40
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -9.53%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:30
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.53%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:30
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -1.95%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 09:19
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -1.95%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 09:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:19
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 09:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.83%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 17:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 17:35
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -4.43%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 09:20
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -4.43%E -1.91%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 09:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -9.66%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-03-15 17:40
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-03-15 17:50