A Escola das Odds

Moreirense FC v Estoril

Início: 2026-04-20 19:15 UTC

Final: Moreirense FC 1–0 Estoril

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Moreirense FC (Local)

Previsão 34.37%2.91odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.470%
Kelly +0.711%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.86%34.22%34.42%35.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.762.752.9540.00%36.17%36.36%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estoril (Visitante)

Previsão 37.70%2.65odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -0.763%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.54%37.88%37.72%40.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.232.412.402.6244.84%41.47%41.67%38.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.94%3.58odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.554%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.55%27.90%27.85%29.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.353.353.5134.72%29.87%29.85%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 18:20
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 18:20
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:20
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -14.05%E -6.16%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -14.05%E -6.16%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 18:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 18:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 18:20
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.85%EV -2.39%E -0.843%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.76%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -1.95%E -0.554%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 18:55
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -3.08%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -2.50%E -0.718%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%EV -1.24%E -0.472%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.41%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:55
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -15.94%E -7.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -4.46%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -10.66%E -4.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV -3.06%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.31%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.99%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 18:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 19:09
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 19:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 19:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.37%E -2.55%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:09
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:49
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 19:10
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:10
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 19:10
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 19:09
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:44
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 19:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 19:10
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 19:10
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 18:45
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.48%EV -8.77%E -3.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 19:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 19:08
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -19.55%E -6.79%K -10.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-04-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-20 19:10
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-20 19:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-20 18:45