مدرسة الاحتمالات

Moreirense FC v Estoril

البداية: 2026-04-20 19:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Moreirense FC 1–0 Estoril

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Moreirense FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.37%2.91السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.470%
Kelly +0.711%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.86%34.22%34.42%35.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.762.752.9540.00%36.17%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estoril (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.70%2.65السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.472%
Kelly -0.763%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.54%37.88%37.72%40.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.412.402.6244.84%41.47%41.67%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.94%3.58السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -0.554%
Kelly -0.775%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.55%27.90%27.85%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.353.5134.72%29.87%29.85%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 18:20
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 18:20
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +1.39%E +0.470%K +0.711%G +0.010%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 18:20
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:20
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -0.332%E -0.115%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -14.05%E -6.16%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -1.02%E -0.354%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -14.05%E -6.16%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 18:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 18:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -2.05%E -0.720%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 18:20
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.85%EV -2.39%E -0.843%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.76%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -1.95%E -0.554%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 18:55
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -3.08%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -2.50%E -0.718%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%EV -1.24%E -0.472%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.41%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:55
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -15.94%E -7.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -4.46%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -10.66%E -4.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.94%EV -3.06%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.31%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.99%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 18:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 19:09
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 19:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 19:10
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 18:45
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.37%E -2.55%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:09
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 18:49
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 19:10
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:10
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 19:10
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 19:09
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:44
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 19:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.61%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 19:10
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -9.61%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -2.23%E -0.636%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 19:10
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 18:45
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.48%EV -8.77%E -3.63%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 19:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 19:08
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -19.55%E -6.79%K -10.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-20 19:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-04-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-20 19:10
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-20 19:10
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-20 19:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-20 18:45