默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Moreirense FC v Braga

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC

最终结果: Moreirense FC 2–2 Braga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Moreirense FC (主队)

预测 15.56%6.43公平赔率
EV +1.93%
优势 +0.294%
Kelly +0.347%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 6.55

博彩公司预测分布
14.25%15.62%15.54%17.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.806.006.5520.00%17.24%16.67%15.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

Braga (客队)

预测 60.83%1.64公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -4.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
57.85%60.75%60.91%62.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.541.541.6068.97%65.03%64.94%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.61%4.24公平赔率
EV -0.845%
优势 -0.201%
Kelly -0.264%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.22%23.63%23.55%25.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.883.904.2027.40%25.78%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Moreirense FC (主队):15.56%;Braga (客队):60.83%;平局:23.61%。 对于“Moreirense FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.43。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.55,对应+1.93%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.65%EV +1.93%E +0.294%K +0.347%G +0.007%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.90%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.46%EV -3.44%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 19:25
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +1.15%E +0.177%K +0.209%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.15%E +0.177%K +0.209%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:45
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +1.15%E +0.177%K +0.209%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 19:23
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -0.407%E -0.064%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 18:50
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.50%E -2.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:50
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:13
BetUS🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:15
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:54
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.74%E -0.439%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -8.15%E -5.39%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -5.85%E -0.968%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 18:45
GTbets🎯6.02I 16.61%NM 15.59%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.88%EV -7.22%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:50
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.21%E -0.782%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:50
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.845%E -0.201%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:20
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 18:50
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 18:50
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 19:25
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:20
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 18:49
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:45
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -6.63%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.66%EV -10.58%E -7.20%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 19:20
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -8.19%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -8.19%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.52%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 19:02
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -10.52%E -1.83%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -11.30%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -11.80%E -8.14%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.41%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.41%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.75%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.41%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.75%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 18:50
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.41%E -2.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 17:59
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:20
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:20
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:19
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:20
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -4.50%E -2.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -5.57%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -15.97%E -2.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -9.97%E -6.74%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.93%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 19:20
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 19:20
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.65%E -3.42%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.85%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.85%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -20.64%E -4.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.85%EV -5.71%E -3.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -22.19%E -4.44%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 19:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-09 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-09 19:10
Matchbook◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-08-09 19:10