Language:English
Moreirense FC v Benfica
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moreirense FC (Local)
assuming max odds 15.83
Benfica (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.16
Draw
assuming max odds 7.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moreirense FC (Local): 6.00%; Benfica (Visit): 81.88%; Draw: 12.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.84, with an expected value of -5.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 15.83I 6.32%NM 6.00%EV -5.01%E -0.317%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 7.84I 12.76%NM 12.12%EV -5.01%E -0.640%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:46 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.99%E -0.666%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.13%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 22:02 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.