مدرسة الاحتمالات

Moreirense FC v Arouca

البداية: 2026-03-21 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Moreirense FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.11%2.85السعر العادل
EV -1.35%
الأفضلية -0.479%
Kelly -0.743%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.49%35.20%35.05%36.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.652.652.8139.22%37.67%37.74%35.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arouca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.10%2.85السعر العادل
EV +0.024%
الأفضلية +0.008%
Kelly +0.013%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.03%35.09%35.07%36.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.642.632.8541.67%37.85%38.02%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.80%3.36السعر العادل
EV -1.68%
الأفضلية -0.508%
Kelly -0.728%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.26%29.71%29.87%30.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.133.123.3034.72%31.98%32.05%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +0.024%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -5.85%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 14:44
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +0.024%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.69%EV -5.85%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 14:44
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.52%EV -1.35%E -0.479%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -2.43%E -0.875%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.60%EV -5.55%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.68%EV -2.05%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:44
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.96%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV -4.19%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.14%EV -2.57%E -0.786%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:24
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 15:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -4.50%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.94%E -2.22%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:18
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -4.50%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.94%E -2.22%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -5.91%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -5.94%E -2.22%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:04
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -5.91%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -5.94%E -2.22%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:04
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.29%E -2.36%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
GTbets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.53%EV -6.61%E -2.49%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.66%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.81%EV -2.27%E -0.692%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.45%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:23
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:24
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:24
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:24
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -7.66%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.10%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.37%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.10%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.37%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.10%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.37%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.10%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.37%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:50
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.70%E -2.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.17%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:45
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:24
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.02%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:04
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.02%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.02%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.02%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -3.45%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.68%E -0.508%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:19
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -7.66%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -7.66%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:44
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 15:25
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.91%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.32%EV -9.80%E -3.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 15:24
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.05%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.21%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 15:18
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.12%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -10.47%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -10.50%E -4.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -15.77%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 15:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-21 15:24
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-03-21 15:24
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.96%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.96%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-03-21 15:14