The School of Odds

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave FC

2026-08-09 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gil Vicente (Local)

Prediction 55.29%1.81fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%54.99%55.31%55.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.631.671.73100.00%61.42%59.88%57.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rio Ave FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.96%5.01fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.55%19.98%19.91%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.004.354.504.80100.00%22.96%22.22%20.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.03%24.78%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.003.503.683.80100.00%28.61%27.17%26.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.18%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.18%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.18%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:45
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.19%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.19%E -0.874%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 10:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.19%E -0.874%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 10:10
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.19%E -0.874%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 10:14
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.19%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.67%E -4.60%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.19%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 10:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.67%E -4.60%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.19%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 10:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.67%E -4.60%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.18%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 10:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.67%E -4.60%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.57%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -9.89%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.55%EV -7.19%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -8.90%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-27 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.20%EV -12.10%E -7.61%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -11.18%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.91%EV -12.65%E -8.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -16.17%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.44%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-27 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.41%EV -14.86%E -9.65%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.95%EV -20.16%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.64%EV -15.83%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-27 10:10
Coolbet1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -44.71%E -44.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -80.04%E -80.04%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -75.24%E -75.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%200.0%2026-07-27 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.