Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 3.85
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gil Vicente (Local): 44.95%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 26.03%; Draw: 29.02%. For Rio Ave FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.202%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.40%E -0.640%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.93%EV -1.56%E -0.712%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.66%E -0.711%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -8.00%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.77%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.80%E -6.60%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.80%E -6.60%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.01%EV -5.52%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.95%E -3.36%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.78%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -12.35%E -6.33%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.35%E -6.33%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.37%EV -14.14%E -7.41%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.37%EV -5.15%E -2.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -2.77%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.36%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.97%EV -9.43%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.69%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -10.55%E -5.30%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.21%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.21%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.03%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.03%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
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