Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave FC

Início: 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC

Final: Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gil Vicente (Local)

Previsão 44.95%2.22odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.712%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.30%44.98%44.98%47.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.052.1952.36%48.93%48.78%45.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.03%3.84odd justa
EV +0.202%
Vantagem +0.052%
Kelly +0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%26.04%25.99%27.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.94%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.02%3.45odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.389%
Kelly -0.550%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%28.98%29.03%30.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.023.213.203.4033.11%31.18%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gil Vicente (Local): 44.95%; Rio Ave FC (Visitante): 26.03%; Empate: 29.02%. Para Rio Ave FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.202%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 19:04
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:00
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.40%E -0.640%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.93%EV -1.56%E -0.712%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.72%EV -2.66%E -0.711%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -8.00%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:23
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 19:05
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.77%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.80%E -6.60%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.80%E -6.60%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.01%EV -5.52%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.06%EV -12.35%E -4.09%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.95%E -3.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.78%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.81%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 19:25
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -12.35%E -6.33%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.35%E -6.33%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.25%E -6.86%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.37%EV -14.14%E -7.41%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.37%EV -5.15%E -2.44%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 19:24
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -2.77%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 19:25
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.50%E -3.13%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 19:20
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.34%EV -6.95%E -3.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.97%EV -9.43%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.69%EV -1.61%E -0.475%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -10.55%E -5.30%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.21%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.21%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 19:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 19:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 19:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 19:25
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.45%E -3.03%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 19:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-08-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-09 19:25
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-09 19:25