Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
+ Nowy modelWszystkie modele

Gil Vicente v CS Maritimo

Początek: 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Gil Vicente 1–1 CS Maritimo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Gil Vicente (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 47.46%2.11kurs godziwy
EV -2.71%
Przewaga -1.32%
Kelly -2.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.78%47.50%47.40%50.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.861.951.952.0553.76%51.35%51.28%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

CS Maritimo (Goście)

Prognoza 23.16%4.32kurs godziwy
EV +1.68%
Przewaga +0.382%
Kelly +0.495%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.96%23.29%23.18%25.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.553.953.954.3928.17%25.30%25.32%22.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.38%3.40kurs godziwy
EV +2.83%
Przewaga +0.809%
Kelly +1.13%
Wzrost +0.032%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.06%29.21%29.42%30.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.183.153.5033.33%31.40%31.75%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Gil Vicente (Gospodarze): 47.46%; CS Maritimo (Goście): 23.16%; Remis: 29.38%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.40. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.83%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +2.83%E +0.809%K +1.13%G +0.032%5.6%2026-09-19 14:02
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:16
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.29%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.00%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.495%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 09:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.29%EV -8.05%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:02
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:21
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:11
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 19:40
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:21
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -1.57%E -0.368%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:16
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:16
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:16
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV -7.75%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -8.33%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.73%E -6.30%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 14:16
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -9.80%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:16
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:21
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:21
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-19 14:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-09-19 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-09-19 14:26