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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Gil Vicente v CS Maritimo

Inizio: 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC

Finale: Gil Vicente 1–1 CS Maritimo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gil Vicente (Casa)

Previsione 47.46%2.11quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.78%47.50%47.40%50.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.951.952.0553.76%51.35%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CS Maritimo (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.16%4.32quota equa
EV +1.68%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.495%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.96%23.29%23.18%25.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.953.954.3928.17%25.30%25.32%22.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.38%3.40quota equa
EV +2.83%
Vantaggio +0.809%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.06%29.21%29.42%30.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.183.153.5033.33%31.40%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Gil Vicente (Casa): 47.46%; CS Maritimo (Trasferta): 23.16%; Pareggio: 29.38%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.40. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +2.83%E +0.809%K +1.13%G +0.032%5.6%2026-09-19 14:02
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.72%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:16
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.05%E -0.923%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.29%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.00%EV +1.68%E +0.382%K +0.495%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 09:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -6.98%E -3.56%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.29%EV -8.05%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:02
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:21
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:11
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 19:40
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:21
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -0.408%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -1.57%E -0.368%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:16
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.51%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:16
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:16
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.68%EV -10.30%E -5.45%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.93%E -4.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -3.88%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV -7.75%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.99%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -8.33%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.08%E -2.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:11
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -10.78%E -5.73%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.73%E -6.30%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -16.62%E -4.62%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 14:16
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -17.78%E -5.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -9.80%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:16
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -6.03%E -3.05%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:21
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.35%E -4.90%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -10.83%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.72%E -0.649%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:21
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-19 14:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-09-19 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-09-19 14:26