La scuola delle quoteItaliano
FC Porto v Santa Clara
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Porto (Casa)
Previsione 67.85%1.47quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.98%67.83%67.87%69.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.371.4576.92%72.73%72.99%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Santa Clara (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.05%8.30quota equa
EV +6.01%
Vantaggio +0.682%
Kelly +0.770%
Crescita +0.046%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.64%12.04%12.21%14.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.597.508.8016.67%13.18%13.33%11.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 20.11%4.97quota equa
EV +0.542%
Vantaggio +0.108%
Kelly +0.136%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.71%20.13%19.92%22.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.14%22.22%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +5.40%E +0.617%K +0.697%G +0.038% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 08:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.85%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -0.620%E -0.075%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.61%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.67%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.62%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -2.43%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.45%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.93%E -2.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -6.04%E -0.774%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.542%E +0.108%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -1.62%E -1.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.59%EV -7.25%E -0.941%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.58%EV -5.29%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 05:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.22%EV -7.49%E -0.975%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.30%EV -2.27%E -0.468%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:36 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -2.98%E -2.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.02%EV -10.44%E -7.91%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.53%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.70%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.20%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.13%EV -27.72%E -4.62%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.67%EV -17.56%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.10% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.31% | 172.7% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |