La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Porto v Santa Clara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Porto (Local)
Predicción 67.85%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.98%67.83%67.87%69.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4576.92%72.73%72.99%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Santa Clara (Visitante)
Predicción 12.05%8.30momio equitativo
EV +6.01%
Ventaja +0.682%
Kelly +0.770%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.64%12.04%12.21%14.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.597.508.8016.67%13.18%13.33%11.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.11%4.97momio equitativo
EV +0.542%
Ventaja +0.108%
Kelly +0.136%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.71%20.13%19.92%22.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.14%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +5.40%E +0.617%K +0.697%G +0.038% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 08:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.85%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -0.620%E -0.075%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.61%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.67%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.62%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -2.43%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.45%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.93%E -2.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -6.04%E -0.774%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.542%E +0.108%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -1.62%E -1.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.59%EV -7.25%E -0.941%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.58%EV -5.29%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 05:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.22%EV -7.49%E -0.975%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.30%EV -2.27%E -0.468%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:36 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -2.98%E -2.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.02%EV -10.44%E -7.91%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.53%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.70%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.20%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.13%EV -27.72%E -4.62%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.67%EV -17.56%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.10% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.31% | 172.7% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |