L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Porto v Santa Clara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Porto (Local)
Prévision 67.85%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.98%67.83%67.87%69.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4576.92%72.73%72.99%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Santa Clara (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.05%8.30cote équitable
EV +6.01%
Avantage +0.682%
Kelly +0.770%
Croissance +0.046%
avec la cote maximale 8.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.64%12.04%12.21%14.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.597.508.8016.67%13.18%13.33%11.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.11%4.97cote équitable
EV +0.542%
Avantage +0.108%
Kelly +0.136%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.71%20.13%19.92%22.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.14%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV +6.01%E +0.682%K +0.770%G +0.046% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.04%EV -10.52%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +5.40%E +0.617%K +0.697%G +0.038% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 08:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.39%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.85%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -0.620%E -0.075%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.61%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.67%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.62%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -2.43%E -0.300%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.45%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.63%E -0.454%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -12.93%E -2.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -6.04%E -0.774%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.542%E +0.108%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -1.62%E -1.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.59%EV -7.25%E -0.941%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.58%EV -5.29%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 05:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.22%EV -7.49%E -0.975%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.30%EV -2.27%E -0.468%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 07:36 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.02%E -3.58%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.65%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.67%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -2.98%E -2.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -4.48%E -0.944%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -7.05%E -5.15%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.02%EV -10.44%E -7.91%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.53%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.77%E -7.34%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.68%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.98%EV -2.30%E -1.60%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -18.09%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -9.09%E -6.78%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.70%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.20%EV -11.80%E -9.08%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.13%EV -27.72%E -4.62%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.67%EV -17.56%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.54% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.56% | 165.4% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 29.10% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.31% | 172.7% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |