Школа коэффициентов

FC Porto v Alverca

Начало: 2026-05-02 19:30 UTC

Итог: FC Porto 1–0 Alverca

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

FC Porto (Хозяева)

Прогноз 79.83%1.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.20%
Преимущество -3.50%
Kelly -20.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.13%79.94%79.85%84.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.161.151.2090.09%86.47%86.96%83.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alverca (Гости)

Прогноз 6.49%15.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +36.32%
Преимущество +1.73%
Kelly +1.82%
Рост +0.659%

при максимальном коэффициенте 21.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.53%6.50%6.45%7.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
12.0015.3315.0021.008.33%6.52%6.67%4.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 13.67%7.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +16.23%
Преимущество +1.91%
Kelly +2.16%
Рост +0.351%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.08%13.56%13.70%15.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.007.017.008.5016.67%14.27%14.29%11.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +36.32%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.659%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%5.0%2026-05-02 19:25
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%18.30I 5.46%NM 5.30%EV +18.79%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.204%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.88%EV -4.42%E -0.632%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 19:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%6.9%2026-05-02 19:24
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:16
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:14
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.56%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%16.42I 6.09%NM 5.86%EV +6.59%E +0.401%K +0.427%G +0.028%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.58%EV +4.61%E +0.603%K +0.693%G +0.032%3.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.96%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:15
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 81.05%EV -11.38%E -10.26%K -103.49%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.62%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 19:24
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%6.2%2026-05-02 19:08
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:15
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:05
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:10
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.94I 6.69%NM 6.31%EV -3.02%E -0.202%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.75%EV -6.19%E -0.903%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 19:15
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.75%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV -4.25%E -0.288%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.38%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.30%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.26%EV -5.88%E -0.405%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:10
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 19:20
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 19:15
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 19:16
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:20
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 19:20
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:14
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:16
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 19:15
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:16
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.68%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.36%EV -13.85%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.44%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -18.86%E -1.51%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.1%2026-05-02 19:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.03%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%2.1%2026-05-02 19:25