مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Porto v Alverca

البداية: 2026-05-02 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Porto 1–0 Alverca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Porto (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.83%1.25السعر العادل
EV -4.20%
الأفضلية -3.50%
Kelly -20.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.13%79.94%79.85%84.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.161.151.2090.09%86.47%86.96%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alverca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 6.49%15.41السعر العادل
EV +36.32%
الأفضلية +1.73%
Kelly +1.82%
النمو +0.659%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 21.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.53%6.50%6.45%7.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
12.0015.3315.0021.008.33%6.52%6.67%4.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.67%7.31السعر العادل
EV +16.23%
الأفضلية +1.91%
Kelly +2.16%
النمو +0.351%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.08%13.56%13.70%15.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.017.008.5016.67%14.27%14.29%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +36.32%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.659%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%5.0%2026-05-02 19:25
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%18.30I 5.46%NM 5.30%EV +18.79%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.204%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.88%EV -4.42%E -0.632%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 19:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%6.9%2026-05-02 19:24
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:16
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:14
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.56%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%16.42I 6.09%NM 5.86%EV +6.59%E +0.401%K +0.427%G +0.028%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.58%EV +4.61%E +0.603%K +0.693%G +0.032%3.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.96%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:15
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 81.05%EV -11.38%E -10.26%K -103.49%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.62%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 19:24
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%6.2%2026-05-02 19:08
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:15
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:05
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:10
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.94I 6.69%NM 6.31%EV -3.02%E -0.202%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.75%EV -6.19%E -0.903%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 19:15
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.75%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV -4.25%E -0.288%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.38%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.30%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.26%EV -5.88%E -0.405%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:10
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 19:20
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 19:15
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 19:16
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:20
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 19:20
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:14
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:16
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 19:15
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:16
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.68%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.36%EV -13.85%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.44%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -18.86%E -1.51%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.1%2026-05-02 19:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.03%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%2.1%2026-05-02 19:25