A Escola das Odds

FC Porto v Alverca

Início: 2026-05-02 19:30 UTC

Final: FC Porto 1–0 Alverca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Porto (Local)

Previsão 79.83%1.25odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -3.50%
Kelly -20.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.13%79.94%79.85%84.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.161.151.2090.09%86.47%86.96%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alverca (Visitante)

Previsão 6.49%15.41odd justa
EV +36.32%
Vantagem +1.73%
Kelly +1.82%
Crescimento +0.659%

pressupondo odds máximas de 21.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.53%6.50%6.45%7.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
12.0015.3315.0021.008.33%6.52%6.67%4.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.67%7.31odd justa
EV +16.23%
Vantagem +1.91%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.351%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.08%13.56%13.70%15.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.007.017.008.5016.67%14.27%14.29%11.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +36.32%E +1.73%K +1.82%G +0.659%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%5.0%2026-05-02 19:25
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%18.30I 5.46%NM 5.30%EV +18.79%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.204%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.88%EV -4.42%E -0.632%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 19:20
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +16.84%E +0.936%K +0.991%G +0.167%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%5.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%6.9%2026-05-02 19:24
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV +12.81%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.226%7.3%2026-05-02 19:25
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +10.35%E +0.609%K +0.647%G +0.067%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:16
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.11%E +0.431%K +0.458%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:14
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.56%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%16.42I 6.09%NM 5.86%EV +6.59%E +0.401%K +0.427%G +0.028%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.58%EV +4.61%E +0.603%K +0.693%G +0.032%3.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.96%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 19:15
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -10.59%E -9.45%K -88.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 19:24
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 81.05%EV -11.38%E -10.26%K -103.49%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.62%EV +3.86%E +0.241%K +0.257%G +0.010%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 19:24
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV +16.23%E +1.91%K +2.16%G +0.351%6.2%2026-05-02 19:08
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:15
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 19:25
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 19:05
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 19:05
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%7.7%2026-05-02 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -2.63%E -0.175%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:10
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.94%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.94I 6.69%NM 6.31%EV -3.02%E -0.202%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.75%EV -6.19%E -0.903%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 19:15
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.75%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV -4.25%E -0.288%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.38%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.30%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.26%EV -5.88%E -0.405%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 19:20
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:10
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.861%E -0.119%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.00%E -4.20%K -26.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 19:20
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 19:15
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 19:16
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -9.12%E -0.652%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:20
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -4.20%E -3.50%K -20.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 19:20
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:14
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -1.54%E -0.214%K -0.249%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 19:16
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 19:15
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.59%E -5.64%K -38.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:16
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.68%EV -8.19%E -7.12%K -54.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -15.61%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.36%EV -13.85%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.44%EV -8.99%E -7.88%K -64.21%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -18.86%E -1.51%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%9.1%2026-05-02 19:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -5.80%E -4.91%K -32.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -11.12%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -9.79%E -8.66%K -75.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -22.11%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-02 19:25
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-05-02 19:25
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.03%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%2.1%2026-05-02 19:25