مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Casa Pia

البداية: 2026-02-23 20:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.91%1.64السعر العادل
EV -3.77%
الأفضلية -2.39%
Kelly -6.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.35%60.87%60.87%62.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.541.541.5867.57%65.01%64.94%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casa Pia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.34%6.52السعر العادل
EV -0.258%
الأفضلية -0.040%
Kelly -0.047%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.34%15.35%15.39%16.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.405.946.006.5018.52%16.83%16.67%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.75%4.21السعر العادل
EV -0.252%
الأفضلية -0.060%
Kelly -0.079%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.08%23.78%23.73%25.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.883.854.2029.41%25.75%25.97%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -3.77%E -2.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.09%E -0.655%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 19:20
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -3.77%E -2.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.09%E -0.655%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-23 19:20
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.79%E -0.280%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -0.252%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 20:09
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.38%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.18%EV -2.56%E -0.403%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.45%EV -2.39%E -0.581%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 20:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -11.00%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 16:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -11.00%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 16:55
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:55
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.63%E -0.641%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 19:24
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 19:19
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.96%EV -9.31%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 20:10
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 16:55
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 16:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 16:54
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -0.258%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 19:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 19:20
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.58%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 20:09
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -11.00%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 20:05
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.17%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -14.07%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-23 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.17%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -14.07%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-23 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -0.258%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 19:24
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 19:54
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-23 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 19:34
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.11%EV -12.53%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 20:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 20:05
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -14.07%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 16:55
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -1.79%E -0.280%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 20:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -1.79%E -0.280%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-23 20:10
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.09%E -0.655%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV -4.09%E -0.655%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-23 19:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.01%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -17.14%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.01%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -17.14%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:15
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.56%E -0.403%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 20:09
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -0.258%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -11.77%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.80%EV -9.04%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:49
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.43%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.60%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-23 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.258%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 18:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-23 19:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.93%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -15.60%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -19.25%E -5.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-23 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.99%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -11.00%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-23 19:40
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.57%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.20%EV -9.46%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-02-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-02-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.28%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-02-23 20:00
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.28%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-02-23 20:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-02-23 20:10