Школа коэффициентов

Famalicão v Arouca

Начало: 2026-03-06 20:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Famalicão (Хозяева)

Прогноз 57.02%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.07%
Преимущество -1.81%
Kelly -4.39%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.03%56.94%57.06%58.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.651.651.7063.29%60.57%60.61%58.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arouca (Гости)

Прогноз 18.41%5.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.55%
Преимущество +0.801%
Kelly +0.973%
Рост +0.044%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.09%18.47%18.34%19.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.504.975.005.6822.22%20.11%20.00%17.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.58%4.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.69%
Преимущество -0.422%
Kelly -0.563%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.89%24.58%24.60%26.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.743.754.0030.30%26.72%26.67%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.14%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.09%EV +4.55%E +0.801%K +0.973%G +0.044%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV -3.66%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:06
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.81%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.62%EV +0.870%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -3.41%E -0.868%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 20:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.02%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -1.52%E -0.285%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 20:11
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:45
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.29%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.90%EV -2.81%E -0.532%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.81%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.16%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 19:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.16%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 19:34
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:36
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 20:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:38
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:05
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:06
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.89%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.89%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:10
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -9.92%E -6.28%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 20:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -10.73%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 20:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:55
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:56
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:35
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.04%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:36
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-06 18:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-03-06 20:11
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-03-06 20:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.67%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-03-06 20:10