مدرسة الاحتمالات

Famalicão v Arouca

البداية: 2026-03-06 20:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Famalicão (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.02%1.75السعر العادل
EV -3.07%
الأفضلية -1.81%
Kelly -4.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.03%56.94%57.06%58.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.651.651.7063.29%60.57%60.61%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arouca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.41%5.43السعر العادل
EV +4.55%
الأفضلية +0.801%
Kelly +0.973%
النمو +0.044%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.09%18.47%18.34%19.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.975.005.6822.22%20.11%20.00%17.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.58%4.07السعر العادل
EV -1.69%
الأفضلية -0.422%
Kelly -0.563%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.89%24.58%24.60%26.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.743.754.0030.30%26.72%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.14%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.09%EV +4.55%E +0.801%K +0.973%G +0.044%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV -3.66%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:06
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.81%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.62%EV +0.870%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -3.41%E -0.868%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 20:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.02%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -1.52%E -0.285%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 20:11
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:45
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.29%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.90%EV -2.81%E -0.532%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.81%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.16%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 19:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%EV -3.64%E -2.16%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 19:34
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.69%E -0.422%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:05
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:36
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.12%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:45
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 20:05
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 20:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:38
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:05
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 20:06
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.89%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -8.89%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:10
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -9.92%E -6.28%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-06 20:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -10.73%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 20:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:55
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:56
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.21%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:35
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.78%E -5.48%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.04%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.16%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.31%EV -5.35%E -3.23%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.78%E -2.86%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -5.92%E -3.59%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:36
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -7.06%E -4.33%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-06 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-03-06 20:11
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-03-06 20:11
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.67%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-03-06 20:10