L’École des cotesFrançais
Famalicão v Alverca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Famalicão (Local)
Prévision 57.07%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.05%56.99%57.08%58.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.631.631.7165.79%61.25%61.35%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alverca (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.44%5.14cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.256%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.70%19.47%19.46%20.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.714.755.0924.39%21.25%21.05%19.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.49%4.26cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%23.54%23.46%25.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.883.904.1029.41%25.77%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -2.40%E -1.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.09%EV -1.05%E -0.206%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.11%EV -5.35%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-11 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.80%E -0.560%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.80%E -0.560%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.74%E -0.968%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 05:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.97%E -4.28%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.26%EV -4.94%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.28%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.71%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -6.53%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.71%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 05:52 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 23:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -3.77%E -0.762%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 07:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.82%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-12 05:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -20.15%E -5.93%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -10.97%E -7.03%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.46%E -3.29%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -11.54%E -7.44%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.54%E -7.44%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.02%EV -9.60%E -2.06%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.59%EV -13.25%E -8.72%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.61%EV -20.29%E -4.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.80%EV -16.62%E -4.68%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-11 20:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 29.25% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.87% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.88% | 163.0% | 2026-05-12 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 29.25% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.87% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.88% | 163.0% | 2026-05-12 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 28.46% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.91% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.63% | 170.3% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |