Die Schule der Quoten

Famalicão v Alverca

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Famalicão (Heim)

Prognose 57.07%1.75faire Quote
EV -2.40%
Vorteil -1.41%
Kelly -3.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.05%56.99%57.08%58.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.521.631.631.7165.79%61.25%61.35%58.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alverca (Auswärts)

Prognose 19.44%5.14faire Quote
EV -1.05%
Vorteil -0.206%
Kelly -0.256%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.70%19.47%19.46%20.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.104.714.755.0924.39%21.25%21.05%19.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.49%4.26faire Quote
EV -3.71%
Vorteil -0.904%
Kelly -1.20%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.79%23.54%23.46%25.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.883.904.1029.41%25.77%25.64%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -2.40%E -1.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.09%EV -1.05%E -0.206%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.11%EV -5.35%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 23:34
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.12%E -2.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.80%E -0.560%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 21:34
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.80%E -0.560%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 21:35
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.74%E -0.968%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 21:34
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 21:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 21:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:34
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.69%E -2.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 05:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -5.26%E -3.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.57%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 05:54
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 05:38
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 05:39
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -5.83%E -3.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 05:54
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.97%E -4.28%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.26%EV -4.94%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 07:52
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.28%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -5.71%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -6.53%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 09:04
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.71%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 23:39
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 05:52
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 05:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -6.69%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 23:53
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:14
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 21:59
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 05:54
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.11%E -5.04%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.06%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 19:59
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -3.77%E -0.762%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 21:34
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.66%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.40%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 07:49
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.68%E -5.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.82%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.93%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-12 05:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -20.15%E -5.93%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-12 07:14
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -10.97%E -7.03%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.46%E -3.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-11 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -11.54%E -7.44%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.63%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.54%E -7.44%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.02%EV -9.60%E -2.06%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -13.10%E -3.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-11 20:19
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.59%EV -13.25%E -8.72%K -25.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.61%EV -20.29%E -4.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.80%EV -16.62%E -4.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-11 20:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 29.25%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.87%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.88%163.0%2026-05-12 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 29.25%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.87%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.88%163.0%2026-05-12 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 28.46%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.63%170.3%2026-05-11 22:04