La scuola delle quote

Estoril v Rio Ave FC

Inizio: 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Estoril (Casa)

Previsione 53.64%1.86quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.99%53.67%53.61%55.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.741.741.8260.24%57.64%57.47%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rio Ave FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.07%4.53quota equa
EV +1.10%
Vantaggio +0.241%
Kelly +0.308%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.76%22.05%22.08%23.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.224.204.5826.32%23.69%23.81%21.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.29%4.12quota equa
EV -0.413%
Vantaggio -0.101%
Kelly -0.133%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.80%24.28%24.30%26.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.13%25.97%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.61%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.308%G +0.003%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.33%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.36%E -5.54%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:13
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:48
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -0.413%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:15
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -3.31%E -0.756%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -7.94%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 14:49
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.30%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 03:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 04:09
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:49
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 15:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 14:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:14
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 15:14
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -8.39%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 06:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 06:39
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -10.96%E -6.61%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:24
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.84%E -6.01%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 20:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 20:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-03-22 14:50