L’École des cotes

Estoril v Rio Ave FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estoril (Local)

Prévision 53.64%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%53.67%53.61%55.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.741.8260.24%57.64%57.47%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rio Ave FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.241%
Kelly +0.308%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%22.05%22.08%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.5826.32%23.69%23.81%21.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.413%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.28%24.30%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.13%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.61%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.308%G +0.003%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.33%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.36%E -5.54%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:13
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:48
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -0.413%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:15
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -3.31%E -0.756%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -7.94%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 14:49
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.30%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 03:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 04:09
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:49
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 15:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 14:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:14
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 15:14
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -8.39%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 06:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 06:39
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -10.96%E -6.61%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:24
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.84%E -6.01%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 20:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 20:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-03-22 14:50