La escuela de los momios

Estoril v Rio Ave FC

Inicio: 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Estoril (Local)

Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.99%53.67%53.61%55.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.741.741.8260.24%57.64%57.47%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.308%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%22.05%22.08%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.224.204.5826.32%23.69%23.81%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.413%
Ventaja -0.101%
Kelly -0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.80%24.28%24.30%26.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.1030.30%26.13%25.97%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.61%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV +1.10%E +0.241%K +0.308%G +0.003%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV -3.33%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.439%E +0.097%K +0.124%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:49
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.36%E -5.54%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.664%E -0.148%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:13
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:48
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.87%E -0.653%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -0.413%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:15
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -3.31%E -0.756%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -7.94%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 14:49
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.30%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -4.54%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 03:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 14:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.08%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:49
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 04:09
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:49
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 14:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.46%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 06:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.84%E -0.710%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 15:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.82%E -5.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 14:49
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 14:50
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.89%E -5.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:14
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.29%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 15:14
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -8.39%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.73%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:39
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 06:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 06:39
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -10.96%E -6.61%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.49%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.03%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.06%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:24
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.56%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.43%E -6.24%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -11.70%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.84%E -6.01%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -13.91%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 20:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -16.12%E -4.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 20:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 15:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-03-22 15:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-03-22 14:50