A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Estoril v Casa Pia

Início: 2026-09-20 17:01 UTC

Final: Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Estoril (Local)

Previsão 55.14%1.81odd justa
EV -4.61%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -6.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.24%55.12%55.08%56.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.691.7361.73%59.47%59.35%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Casa Pia (Visitante)

Previsão 20.18%4.95odd justa
EV +1.33%
Vantagem +0.264%
Kelly +0.330%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.14%20.27%20.24%22.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.644.605.0225.00%21.56%21.74%19.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.68%4.05odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.433%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.12%24.61%24.68%26.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.82%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Estoril (Local): 55.14%; Casa Pia (Visitante): 20.18%; Empate: 24.68%. Para Casa Pia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.95. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.96%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.17%EV +1.33%E +0.264%K +0.330%G +0.004%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:45
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.10%E -0.224%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:49
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.58%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -2.11%E -0.434%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 16:48
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.11%E -0.649%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:58
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.11%E -0.649%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.11%E -0.649%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:44
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.65%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.67%EV -3.52%E -0.736%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.68%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.30%E -0.325%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 17:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:44
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:54
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -4.12%E -0.868%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.13%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.13%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 17:00
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.13%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -6.14%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -6.14%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:19
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -9.57%E -5.84%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:45
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -7.15%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.70%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -8.16%E -1.79%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 10:54
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 10:54
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 10:54
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 10:54
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 16:59
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.17%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 16:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.19%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 16:58
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -12.60%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -13.21%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -2.53%E -0.641%K -0.858%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.88%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -13.21%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -9.19%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 16:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.11%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -13.21%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -19.26%E -4.82%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -3.77%E -0.966%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-09-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-20 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-20 16:45
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.91%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.0%2026-09-20 16:45
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-09-20 17:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-09-20 05:44