Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CF Estrela v Famalicão

Início: 2026-09-05 14:30 UTC

Final: CF Estrela 2–2 Famalicão

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CF Estrela (Local)

Previsão 32.06%3.12odd justa
EV +1.00%
Vantagem +0.318%
Kelly +0.466%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.55%31.97%32.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.13%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Famalicão (Visitante)

Previsão 38.06%2.63odd justa
EV -0.658%
Vantagem -0.252%
Kelly -0.408%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.08%38.18%38.04%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.392.402.6145.45%41.86%41.67%38.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.87%3.35odd justa
EV +1.57%
Vantagem +0.462%
Kelly +0.654%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.45%29.85%29.87%31.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.123.103.4033.90%32.03%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CF Estrela (Local): 32.06%; Famalicão (Visitante): 38.06%; Empate: 29.87%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV +1.57%E +0.462%K +0.654%G +0.010%7.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -7.98%E -2.78%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 13:25
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.91%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -7.98%E -2.78%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:34
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 13:25
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.00%EV -6.69%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.19%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:34
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:35
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV +1.00%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.61%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.01%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -6.79%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:33
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.79%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.79%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:33
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -2.56%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -2.56%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:34
BetUS🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -2.56%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 13:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 13:34
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.85%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.81%EV -7.69%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -5.09%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.08%EV -0.658%E -0.252%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:31
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 13:35
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.69%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.37%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 13:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:30
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.20%E -0.723%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -15.12%E -6.78%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 04:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -16.26%E -7.39%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -16.26%E -7.39%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -16.26%E -7.39%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.94%EV -9.58%E -3.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.53%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%2.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.25%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%4.1%2026-09-04 14:35