L’École des cotes

Casa Pia v Santa Clara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 17:02 UTC

Score final : Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Casa Pia (Local)

Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.506%
Avantage +0.135%
Kelly +0.185%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.85%26.84%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.453.7430.77%28.81%28.99%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santa Clara (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.84%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.54%42.06%41.79%43.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.202.3348.78%45.17%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV +0.128%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%31.09%31.37%32.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.61%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV +0.506%E +0.135%K +0.185%G +0.001%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 16:59
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV +0.237%E +0.064%K +0.087%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 16:59
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.569%E -0.154%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:59
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -1.91%E -0.524%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.94%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 16:59
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:59
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:56
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.95%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
GTbets3.58I 27.93%NM 26.39%EV -3.79%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.74%EV -7.54%E -3.41%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:59
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.59%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:00
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:50
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -8.63%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -8.63%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.97%EV -9.21%E -4.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:00
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.97%EV -9.21%E -4.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:59
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:01
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:00
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 17:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:59
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -12.14%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.14%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -14.23%E -6.94%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%2.5%2026-04-18 17:01
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-04-18 17:00