La escuela de los momios

Casa Pia v Santa Clara

Inicio: 2026-04-18 17:02 UTC

Final: Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Casa Pia (Local)

Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV +0.506%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.185%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.85%26.84%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.453.7430.77%28.81%28.99%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Predicción 41.84%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.54%42.06%41.79%43.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3348.78%45.17%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV +0.128%
Ventaja +0.040%
Kelly +0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.52%31.09%31.37%32.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.61%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV +0.506%E +0.135%K +0.185%G +0.001%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 16:59
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV +0.237%E +0.064%K +0.087%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 16:59
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.569%E -0.154%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:59
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -1.91%E -0.524%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.94%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 16:59
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:59
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:56
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.95%E -3.07%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
GTbets3.58I 27.93%NM 26.39%EV -3.79%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.74%EV -7.54%E -3.41%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:59
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.59%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:00
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:50
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:00
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -8.63%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -8.63%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.97%EV -9.21%E -4.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:00
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.97%EV -9.21%E -4.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:59
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:59
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:01
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:00
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 17:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:59
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.05%E -4.67%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 17:00
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:59
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:01
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -12.14%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +0.128%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.14%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.95%E -5.07%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -14.23%E -6.94%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-18 17:00
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%2.5%2026-04-18 17:01
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-04-18 17:00