StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Casa Pia v Moreirense FC

Matchstart: 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Casa Pia (Hemma)

Prognos 34.48%2.90rättvist odds
EV -3.11%
Fördel -1.11%
Kelly -1.72%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.05%34.56%34.45%35.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.712.702.8138.46%36.92%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Moreirense FC (Borta)

Prognos 33.52%2.98rättvist odds
EV +0.565%
Fördel +0.188%
Kelly +0.282%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.01%33.48%33.48%34.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.782.783.0040.00%35.97%35.97%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.00%3.13rättvist odds
EV -1.13%
Fördel -0.366%
Kelly -0.541%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.71%31.96%32.07%33.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.912.903.0937.04%34.32%34.48%32.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Casa Pia (Hemma): 34.48%; Moreirense FC (Borta): 33.52%; Oavgjort: 32.00%. För Moreirense FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.98. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.565%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.30%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV +0.565%E +0.188%K +0.282%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.30%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV +0.565%E +0.188%K +0.282%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 17:34
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.42%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.01%EV -1.78%E -0.608%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.57%EV -4.97%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 17:50
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.90%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.46%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.40%EV -1.13%E -0.366%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -2.41%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:38
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:34
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.46%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 17:49
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.28%EV -5.13%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 17:54
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.28%EV -5.13%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 17:54
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:39
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.53%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -6.14%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -8.17%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:49
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.43%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.81%EV -6.47%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -4.97%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.81%E -2.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:40
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.37%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.81%E -2.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.01%EV -6.57%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:34
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:34
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:14
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:24
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.85%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.82%E -2.84%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.61%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:54
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.90%E -2.56%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.01%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 17:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.21%E -2.49%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 17:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.81%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 17:38
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.49%E -3.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.41%E -3.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -16.20%E -6.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -13.61%E -5.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-01 17:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-03-01 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-03-01 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-03-01 17:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-03-01 17:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.9%2026-03-01 17:50