مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casa Pia v Braga

البداية: 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Casa Pia 0–1 Braga

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casa Pia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.56%6.04السعر العادل
EV +1.00%
الأفضلية +0.164%
Kelly +0.197%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.33%16.63%16.56%18.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.645.706.1020.41%17.73%17.54%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Braga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.06%1.69السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -2.29%
Kelly -5.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.37%58.94%59.08%60.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.53%63.69%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.38%4.10السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -0.432%
Kelly -0.575%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.03%24.42%24.36%26.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.803.804.0330.30%26.34%26.32%24.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV +1.00%E +0.164%K +0.197%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:50
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV +1.00%E +0.164%K +0.197%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:49
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:49
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:50
Bally Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:49
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -8.46%E -5.46%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:50
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -8.46%E -5.46%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -9.05%E -5.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -9.05%E -5.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -9.05%E -5.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -9.64%E -6.30%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:49
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -0.653%E -0.109%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -9.64%E -6.30%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:49
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:49
1xBet5.89I 16.98%NM 16.46%EV -2.47%E -0.420%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.48%EV -3.73%E -2.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.06%EV -1.74%E -0.432%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Pinnacle5.87I 17.04%NM 16.44%EV -2.81%E -0.478%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.56%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.00%EV -1.99%E -0.494%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:55
LowVig.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:20
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.46%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:24
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.78%EV -10.23%E -6.73%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:50
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -11.41%E -7.61%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:50
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:44
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:49
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:50
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.62%E -0.986%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.46%E -5.46%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.824%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -5.62%E -0.986%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:39
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 17:44
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.19%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -5.40%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:39
Marathon Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.28%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.37%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:25
GTbets5.56I 17.99%NM 16.97%EV -7.94%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.59%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.44%EV -5.89%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:19
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:50
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:20
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:30
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:54
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:24
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.64%E -6.30%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.47%E -0.618%K -0.824%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:50
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:19
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -7.28%E -4.63%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 17:49
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.57%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:20
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:25
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:25
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.64%E -6.30%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -7.35%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 17:55
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -9.05%E -5.87%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -4.91%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -4.32%E -2.67%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:34
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 16:34
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -4.91%E -3.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -9.64%E -6.30%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -19.54%E -5.92%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 17:50
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -18.87%E -3.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.43%EV -11.41%E -7.61%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%0.4%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-04-23 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-04-23 17:45
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-04-23 17:30