A Escola das Odds

Braga v Vitória SC

Início: 2026-02-21 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Braga (Local)

Previsão 62.77%1.59odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -6.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.55%62.71%62.89%64.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.22%66.67%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitória SC (Visitante)

Previsão 14.43%6.93odd justa
EV +5.31%
Vantagem +0.727%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.27%14.47%14.37%16.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.706.356.407.3017.54%15.74%15.63%13.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.81%4.38odd justa
EV +0.345%
Vantagem +0.078%
Kelly +0.101%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.23%22.82%22.74%24.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.074.104.4028.57%24.58%24.39%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.92%EV -3.34%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV +5.31%E +0.727%K +0.843%G +0.045%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.81%EV -7.18%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 20:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 20:20
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV -0.750%E -0.109%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:50
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:50
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:20
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.36%EV -5.37%E -0.818%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -7.64%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 20:05
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.450%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 11:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:04
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:24
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV +0.345%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:35
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -10.24%E -7.16%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:25
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -8.40%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -10.87%E -7.65%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -9.84%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 19:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 20:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 19:54
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -20.18%E -5.77%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-02-21 20:25