L’École des cotes

Braga v Vitória SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Braga (Local)

Prévision 62.77%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -6.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.55%62.71%62.89%64.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.22%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vitória SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.43%6.93cote équitable
EV +5.31%
Avantage +0.727%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 7.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.27%14.47%14.37%16.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.356.407.3017.54%15.74%15.63%13.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.81%4.38cote équitable
EV +0.345%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.23%22.82%22.74%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.104.4028.57%24.58%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.92%EV -3.34%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV +5.31%E +0.727%K +0.843%G +0.045%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.81%EV -7.18%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 20:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 20:20
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV -0.750%E -0.109%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 20:15
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:50
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:50
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:20
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.36%EV -5.37%E -0.818%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -7.64%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 20:05
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.450%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 11:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:04
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:24
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV +0.345%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:35
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -10.24%E -7.16%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:25
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -8.40%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -10.87%E -7.65%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -9.84%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 19:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:20
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 20:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 19:54
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 20:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -20.18%E -5.77%K -8.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-02-21 20:25