Idioma:Español
Braga v Vitória SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Braga (Local)
Predicción 62.77%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -6.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.55%62.71%62.89%64.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.22%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vitória SC (Visitante)
Predicción 14.43%6.93momio equitativo
EV +5.31%
Ventaja +0.727%
Kelly +0.843%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.27%14.47%14.37%16.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.356.407.3017.54%15.74%15.63%13.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.81%4.38momio equitativo
EV +0.345%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.23%22.82%22.74%24.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.104.4028.57%24.58%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Braga (Local): 62.77%; Vitória SC (Visitante): 14.43%; Empate: 22.81%. Para Vitória SC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.93. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.92%EV -3.34%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV +5.31%E +0.727%K +0.843%G +0.045% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.81%EV -7.18%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.981%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.77%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.00%EV -0.750%E -0.109%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.69%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.63%E -0.389%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.36%EV -5.37%E -0.818%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -7.64%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -1.94%E -0.450%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV +0.345%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.23%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -8.36%E -5.72%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -8.99%E -6.20%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -3.08%E -0.724%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -10.24%E -7.16%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -7.67%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -8.40%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -10.87%E -7.65%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -9.84%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.89%EV -5.22%E -3.46%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.32%EV -12.00%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.47%E -4.35%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.78%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 20:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -9.61%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -20.18%E -5.77%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -17.77%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -6.50%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |