L’École des cotes

Braga v FC Porto

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Braga (Local)

Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.779%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.32%30.29%30.34%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.123.103.3833.90%32.09%32.26%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Porto (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.82%2.51cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.506%
Kelly -0.848%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.38%39.90%39.78%42.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4847.62%43.47%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.82%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.485%
Kelly -0.696%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.75%29.81%29.88%31.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.153.3035.71%32.01%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.74%EV +2.63%E +0.779%K +1.11%G +0.029%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.99%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.27%EV -4.28%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 20:25
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:25
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:09
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -14.00%E -6.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 20:10
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 20:15
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -14.79%E -6.91%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:10
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:24
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 20:20
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.80%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.42%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:35
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:54
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:04
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:20
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:24
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -5.24%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:35
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:30
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%EV -9.62%E -4.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:34
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 20:19
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:54
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:18
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 20:10
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -16.38%E -7.80%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 19:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:50
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-03-22 20:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-03-22 20:20