مدرسة الاحتمالات

Braga v FC Porto

البداية: 2026-03-22 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.37%3.29السعر العادل
EV +2.63%
الأفضلية +0.779%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.32%30.29%30.34%31.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.123.103.3833.90%32.09%32.26%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Porto (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.82%2.51السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -0.506%
Kelly -0.848%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.38%39.90%39.78%42.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.302.302.4847.62%43.47%43.48%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.82%3.35السعر العادل
EV -1.60%
الأفضلية -0.485%
Kelly -0.696%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.75%29.81%29.88%31.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.123.153.3035.71%32.01%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.74%EV +2.63%E +0.779%K +1.11%G +0.029%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.99%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.27%EV -4.28%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 20:25
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:25
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:09
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -14.00%E -6.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 20:10
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 20:15
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -14.79%E -6.91%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:10
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:24
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 20:20
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.80%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.42%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:35
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:54
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:04
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:20
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:24
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -5.24%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:35
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:30
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%EV -9.62%E -4.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:34
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 20:19
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:54
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:18
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 20:10
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -16.38%E -7.80%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 19:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:50
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 19:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-03-22 20:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-03-22 20:20