La escuela de los momios

Braga v FC Porto

Inicio: 2026-03-22 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Braga (Local)

Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.779%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%30.29%30.34%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.123.103.3833.90%32.09%32.26%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Porto (Visitante)

Predicción 39.82%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.506%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.38%39.90%39.78%42.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4847.62%43.47%43.48%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.82%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.485%
Kelly -0.696%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.75%29.81%29.88%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3035.71%32.01%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.74%EV +2.63%E +0.779%K +1.11%G +0.029%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.99%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.27%EV -4.28%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 20:25
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -11.21%E -5.03%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV +0.205%E +0.062%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:25
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:09
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -12.40%E -5.64%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:09
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -1.31%E -0.404%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -13.20%E -6.05%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 20:10
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -2.83%E -0.885%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%EV -14.00%E -6.48%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 20:10
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.63%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 20:15
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -4.05%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.25%E -0.506%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.54%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 19:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -14.79%E -6.91%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:10
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:24
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.42%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.03%E -2.56%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 20:20
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.80%EV -5.26%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.42%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:35
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.63%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:54
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 20:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:09
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:04
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:20
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:24
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -5.24%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 19:35
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 19:30
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.09%E -0.951%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:34
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%EV -9.62%E -4.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:34
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -7.39%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 20:19
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.60%E -0.485%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:54
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 19:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:49
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 20:18
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.42%E -3.66%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 20:10
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -16.38%E -7.80%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 19:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.51%E -3.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:50
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.74%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.42%E -3.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -10.41%E -4.63%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-03-22 20:20
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-03-22 20:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-03-22 20:20