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Braga v CF Estrela
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Braga (Casa)
Previsione 56.53%1.77quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.62%56.51%56.56%57.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.651.651.7364.94%60.49%60.61%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
CF Estrela (Trasferta)
Previsione 20.13%4.97quota equa
EV +5.69%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.076%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.20%20.14%20.11%23.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.524.505.2526.67%22.15%22.22%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.34%4.28quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.358%
Kelly -0.469%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.12%23.35%23.33%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.923.954.2230.30%25.50%25.32%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +5.69%E +1.08%K +1.34%G +0.076% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.37%E -0.702%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 09:02 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.16%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.11%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -3.14%E -0.758%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.39%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.79%EV -5.01%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.07%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -6.79%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.98%EV -1.51%E -0.358%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.40%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 09:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -7.40%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -12.48%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -10.68%E -6.76%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.98%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -22.98%E -6.96%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -17.46%E -4.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.04%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.73%EV -21.49%E -5.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.22%EV -14.81%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.28%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -24.51%E -6.54%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 48.60% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 36.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 15.03% | 77.4% | 2026-05-12 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 29.09% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.95% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.96% | 162.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 29.09% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.95% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.96% | 162.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 28.31% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.71% | 169.7% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |