L’École des cotesBraga v CF Estrela
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Braga (Local)
Prévision 56.53%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%56.51%56.56%57.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.651.651.7364.94%60.49%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CF Estrela (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.13%4.97cote équitable
EV +5.69%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.076%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.20%20.14%20.11%23.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.524.505.2526.67%22.15%22.22%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.34%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.469%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%23.35%23.33%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.923.954.2230.30%25.50%25.32%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +5.69%E +1.08%K +1.34%G +0.076% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.37%E -0.702%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 09:02 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -4.38%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.38%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 09:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.16%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.11%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -3.14%E -0.758%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.39%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.79%EV -5.01%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.07%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -6.79%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.98%EV -1.51%E -0.358%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 21:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -7.40%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 09:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -7.40%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -12.48%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -10.68%E -6.76%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -9.41%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 08:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.42%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.98%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -12.83%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -22.98%E -6.96%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-12 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.54%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.67%EV -17.46%E -4.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.04%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.73%EV -21.49%E -5.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.22%EV -14.81%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-11 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.28%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -24.51%E -6.54%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 48.60% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 36.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 15.03% | 77.4% | 2026-05-12 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 29.09% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.95% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.96% | 162.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 29.09% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.95% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.96% | 162.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 28.31% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.71% | 169.7% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |