A Escola das Odds

Benfica v Moreirense FC

Início: 2026-04-25 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Benfica (Local)

Previsão 83.03%1.20odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -3.93%
Kelly -30.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.05%82.99%82.99%86.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.88%88.50%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Moreirense FC (Visitante)

Previsão 5.41%18.49odd justa
EV +29.80%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.386%

pressupondo odds máximas de 24.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.04%5.47%5.47%6.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
14.0016.9017.0024.007.14%5.92%5.88%4.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 11.57%8.65odd justa
EV +20.28%
Vantagem +1.95%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.438%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.33%11.53%11.54%13.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.927.8810.4015.38%12.63%12.70%9.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.63%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%EV +29.80%E +1.24%K +1.30%G +0.386%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.33%EV +20.28%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.438%3.1%2026-04-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.74%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.57%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +15.65%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 83.95%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.37I 5.76%NM 5.46%EV -6.06%E -0.349%K -0.370%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.59%EV +3.63%E +0.405%K +0.456%G +0.017%5.4%2026-04-23 23:15
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV +1.20%E +0.137%K +0.154%G +0.002%6.6%2026-04-23 15:53
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV +1.20%E +0.137%K +0.154%G +0.002%6.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:24
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:29
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:25
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:49
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.79%EV +5.46%E +0.280%K +0.295%G +0.016%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -2.85%E -0.339%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -2.85%E -0.339%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:50
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:49
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.59%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +0.056%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.99%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:50
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.99%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 82.33%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -5.16%E -0.630%K -0.717%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 82.33%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -5.16%E -0.630%K -0.717%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:14
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:50
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:03
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 82.59%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:45
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.03%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.57%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:49
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV -10.37%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:25
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:24
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:24
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:50
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:25
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.67%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 19:50
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:50
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 82.80%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:55
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +8.17%E +0.408%K +0.430%G +0.035%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -14.42%E -1.95%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +8.17%E +0.408%K +0.430%G +0.035%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -14.42%E -1.95%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 82.28%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -16.15%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 17:04
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 81.57%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -24.82%E -3.82%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 23:05
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.36%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.79%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.55%4.0%2026-04-24 03:40