مدرسة الاحتمالات

Benfica v Moreirense FC

البداية: 2026-04-25 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Benfica (المضيف)

التنبؤ 83.03%1.20السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -3.93%
Kelly -30.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.05%82.99%82.99%86.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.88%88.50%86.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Moreirense FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 5.41%18.49السعر العادل
EV +29.80%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +1.30%
النمو +0.386%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 24.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.04%5.47%5.47%6.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
14.0016.9017.0024.007.14%5.92%5.88%4.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 11.57%8.65السعر العادل
EV +20.28%
الأفضلية +1.95%
Kelly +2.16%
النمو +0.438%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.33%11.53%11.54%13.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.927.8810.4015.38%12.63%12.70%9.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.63%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%EV +29.80%E +1.24%K +1.30%G +0.386%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.33%EV +20.28%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.438%3.1%2026-04-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.74%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.57%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +15.65%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%7.0%2026-04-23 19:29
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 83.95%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.37I 5.76%NM 5.46%EV -6.06%E -0.349%K -0.370%G +0.000%8.96I 11.16%NM 10.59%EV +3.63%E +0.405%K +0.456%G +0.017%5.4%2026-04-23 23:15
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV +1.20%E +0.137%K +0.154%G +0.002%6.6%2026-04-23 15:53
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 83.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.72%EV +1.20%E +0.137%K +0.154%G +0.002%6.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:24
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:29
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:25
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -1.69%E -0.199%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:49
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.79%EV +5.46%E +0.280%K +0.295%G +0.016%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -2.85%E -0.339%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.99%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -2.85%E -0.339%K -0.385%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:50
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:49
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.59%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +0.056%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.99%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:50
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.99%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -4.59%E -0.556%K -0.632%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:49
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 82.33%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -5.16%E -0.630%K -0.717%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 82.33%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -5.16%E -0.630%K -0.717%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 21:14
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:50
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:03
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 82.59%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:45
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.03%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.57%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -24.28%E -1.73%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.48%E -0.935%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:49
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV -10.37%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:25
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.13%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 19:30
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:24
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 00:25
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:24
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 15:50
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:25
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.67%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 19:50
betfred_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:50
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 82.80%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -2.65%E -0.147%K -0.156%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -13.26%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:55
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +8.17%E +0.408%K +0.430%G +0.035%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -14.42%E -1.95%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.67%EV +8.17%E +0.408%K +0.430%G +0.035%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -14.42%E -1.95%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:55
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 82.28%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.76%E +0.145%K +0.153%G +0.004%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -16.15%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -5.35%E -4.69%K -38.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 17:04
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -7.84%E -7.06%K -71.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -8.06%E -0.474%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:25
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 81.57%EV -8.67%E -7.88%K -86.71%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -13.47%E -0.842%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -19.04%E -2.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -18.87%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -24.82%E -3.82%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 21:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.77%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.80%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-04-23 23:05
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.36%25.97I 3.85%NM 3.79%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.55%4.0%2026-04-24 03:40